Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 1438.684726 1645.574580 1878.080755 2159.944193 2494.003626 2879.258553 3360.017224
2025-08-03 1133.251224 1402.707712 1735.975137 2183.521316 2776.533281 3546.370524 4639.703046
2025-08-10 993.449362 1293.873871 1689.461020 2258.550622 3073.188351 4224.179933 6023.573055
2025-08-17 882.824735 1196.598448 1630.774771 2291.117310 3298.697222 4828.086593 7427.800825
2025-08-24 793.583245 1111.778084 1570.698619 2302.458818 3482.423631 5390.573536 8889.865927
2025-08-31 722.606521 1041.793444 1519.125292 2312.832491 3658.029506 5963.670107 10504.744320
2025-09-07 671.203264 993.474244 1491.809812 2353.593153 3884.891040 6661.279409 12529.356494
2025-09-14 604.757054 913.843212 1404.611705 2280.385251 3897.387873 6968.163939 13855.423538
2025-09-21 549.389008 845.820852 1327.928312 2213.337205 3907.220084 7266.926228 15242.262079
2025-09-28 499.991445 782.623297 1252.221528 2137.234003 3885.850548 7495.626310 16532.146155
2025-10-05 482.268809 770.290857 1261.556569 2217.489942 4184.004352 8454.868944 19906.774564
2025-10-12 459.042847 746.178814 1247.272905 2250.211848 4389.030399 9252.370558 23147.911420
2025-10-19 438.373800 725.796660 1239.614117 2299.265037 4648.057436 10262.824271 27479.949702
2025-10-26 416.906202 702.225675 1223.960968 2330.944166 4877.391180 11268.771021 32296.879863
2025-11-02 403.355583 691.639238 1231.391707 2411.373986 5235.161575 12706.447631 39280.318029
2025-11-09 385.839446 671.984639 1218.932758 2446.683519 5490.453057 13938.698549 46245.190552
2025-11-16 367.477243 649.082963 1197.567070 2458.944653 5690.011096 15070.194092 53522.443455
2025-11-23 350.617774 627.655023 1177.011098 2470.169726 5889.533532 16265.288925 61879.806443
2025-11-30 338.147104 613.809707 1170.762138 2514.279211 6188.534497 17881.017408 73396.792858
2025-12-07 315.981947 578.859860 1116.595747 2435.065191 6123.332506 18246.158538 78961.256821
2025-12-14 296.213490 547.422225 1067.417443 2362.551239 6065.891338 18629.749751 84986.859657
2025-12-21 277.228463 516.356299 1016.618519 2280.285349 5965.995370 18836.306790 90241.665098
2025-12-28 272.572256 514.680571 1030.698248 2367.041533 6404.931028 21259.087241 111500.513756